🇮🇱 🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The strike everyone expected this weekend never came, and the odds of war after the midterms barely moved.
Trita Parsi still sees nothing that talks him down from 80 to 90%, but a fast Gadi Eisenkot win in Israel could slow things, since Trump has deep rapport with Netanyahu and almost none with him:
“I think if Trump wants to go for a third round and he wants to go much, much larger than he did in the previous two, I do think that an Israeli component in that war is going to be important.”
A new prime minister facing an unpopular war may think twice before putting his name on it.
@tparsi
Video
Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal)🇮🇷 🇵🇰 🇺🇸 Pakistan came in to broker peace between Tehran and Washington… and Iran now sees it as Washington’s messenger.
Trita Parsi says Tehran has lost faith in Islamabad as a neutral go between, with Pakistan even closing border checkpoints, while Iran doesn’t see Qatar or Oman the same way:
“They’ve ended up becoming, sending messages from the US side to the Iranian side.
So essentially, they’re working for the Americans rather than being mediators.”
Losing a mediator this close to a possible third round leaves fewer doors open when the shooting starts.
@tparsi
Video
— https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2114952332853014963