Day: October 13, 2026
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Zelenskyy said the attack showed that Russia was not observing the ceasefire announcement and called for continued U.S. pressure on Moscow to support the agreement.
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Philip Pilkington says that kind of trade is impossible to spin, because in a war of attrition the side with cheaper ammunition holds out longest:
“In a war of attrition of magazines, of Iranian missile and drone magazines versus tanker magazines, I think we pretty much know who will win and pretty much know who will win pretty quick.”
Shipyards can’t build tankers anywhere near as fast as Iran can build missiles, and no press release changes that.
@mercoglianos @philippilk
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Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal)🇺🇸 🇮🇷 NOBODY really controls the Strait of Hormuz, and the shipping math shows it…
Maritime historian Sal Mercogliano runs the numbers: a state-owned fleet losing 5% of its tankers per trip is wiped out in about 20 voyages, and private owners now charge $1.4 MILLION a day to make the run.
“We’re seeing the ground war that the US fought in Iraq and Afghanistan being waged now on the sea in the Strait of Hormuz through this kind of asymmetric warfare.”
Every tanker lost makes the next voyage pricier, and that bill hits American gas pumps long before the fleet runs dry.
@mercoglianos @philippilk
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— https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2109856929220567359


