Day: September 27, 2026

Writer: Sol
Video
 

Spain debuted its second star in an official match and did NOT disappoint!

Writer: Samuel
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Spotted by reagan0965
📷 Brian Stewart via  https://t.co/7YFrROVggD
War Watch Intel — Live 24/7 on  https://t.co/e7DbaqF5tn
#OSINT  #MilAviation  #WarWatchIntel

And Iran isn’t denying it.

Philip Pilkington says that helps explain why Trump could reject Tehran’s seven-day reopening offer despite rising energy prices and approaching midterms.

“𝘈𝘯𝘺 𝘮𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘣𝘦𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘴 𝘢 𝘵𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘦𝘵 𝘪𝘴 𝘪𝘮𝘮𝘦𝘥𝘪𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘭𝘺 𝘮𝘢𝘯𝘪𝘱𝘶𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘥.”

That’s the problem.

If Goodhart’s Law has reached the Strait of Hormuz, nobody really knows how much oil is moving anymore.

And that uncertainty may be the whole game.

@philippilk
Video
  Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal)🇮🇷 What if everything we thought we knew about the Strait of Hormuz is wrong?

Economist Philip Pilkington joins me for one of the most honest conversations I’ve had about this war, and it started with a question I’ve been struggling to answer:

Tanker Trackers, the same satellite and AIS data sources we used for months to prove Trump was lying about oil flows, now show 12M barrels a day coming out of the Gulf on the American side, and ZERO Iranian oil moving.

Pilkington’s response is Goodhart’s Law: the moment a metric becomes the target of public attention, it gets manipulated, and now that everyone is watching Tanker Trackers, the data itself cannot be trusted.

On the economics: the insurance math simply does NOT work for tankers moving through an active war zone…

The risk of losing a $350 million ship and cargo at a 10% probability makes the profit margin on the oil irrelevant, and yet ships are apparently getting through.

My counter: shadow fleet vessels owned by Gulf states, willing to absorb hits, offloading through ship-to-ship transfers in the Sea of Oman before the cargo reaches larger commercial tankers outside the strait.

Neither of us had a clean answer, and that is the most honest thing I can tell you about where this war actually stands right now…

Thanks for an interesting convo,  @philippilk
Video
  —  https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2104310715205242989

Stock Tracker = Done
OSINT Network = Done
Silicon Chip Designer = Done
PCB Designer = In Progress
Office Suite Software = Planned
AI Assistant = Planned
Anti-Virus/Security Software = Planned

I plan to keep creating more.