Anyone trying to read what happens next should watch where those planes go and ignore whatever gets said at the podium, because the aircraft don’t bluff.
“I still think that we are on a very bad pathway here, and I think things are going to start happening very soon.”
If this is all posturing, why does it take a bomber wing flown across an ocean to make the point?
@WeTheBrandon
Video
Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal)🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Iran talks may be buying time for the next war.
Washington and Tehran are talking again. Iran has put forward a phased proposal, discussions are continuing through regional mediators, and Iranian officials have suddenly adopted a noticeably more diplomatic tone.
But who’s buying the apparent thaw?
“I think it’s a facade by everybody. I think everybody has already decided war is the answer.”
Both sides currently benefit from negotiations even if neither believes a lasting agreement is possible.
Iran is under serious economic pressure from the blockade and expanding American efforts to isolate its aviation and banking sectors. But the United States is also unusually vulnerable because the confrontation is feeding directly into energy markets and the wider global economy.
“This is clearly a game of economic chicken. Who blinks first?”
And underneath the diplomacy, the military architecture remains in place. There is continued U.S. air activity around the Gulf, so de-escalation talk can be taken seriously if and when forces actually begin leaving the region.
That makes the talks important for a potentially darker reason:
They may be negotiations over peace… Or simply the pause both sides need to prepare for what comes next.
@WeTheBrandon
Video
— https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2103936097218920848
