Day: June 12, 2026

Germany is reading the room. If FCAS stalls, Berlin still needs a path to sixth-gen airpower. Future wars will be about sensors, electronic warfare, secure comms, and who controls the sky before the first missile flies.  #aircraft  #aviation   armyrecognition.com/news/aer…

— Robert Morton (@Robert4787) Jun 12, 2026

If this is it, I can see why Trump wants Vance to attend a signing ceremony instead of Trump.Yaroslav Trofimov (@yarotrof)Iran’s Mehr news agency publishes the purported text of the draft agreement with Trump. It will keep the Strait of Hormuz under Iranian control, will promise Iran $300 billion in reconstruction money in addition to an immediate cash transfer of $24 billion, a suspension of sanctions and the withdrawal of U.S. forces from the Middle East. Also, a commitment not to bother Iran again about its missiles and proxies, and restraining Israel in Lebanon.
The U.S. gets in exchange a pinky promise to respect the NPT.
Let’s see what happens in coming days.
Link:  mehrnews.com/news/6857718
Full text:

A permanent and immediate cessation of war on all fronts, including Lebanon.
A U.S. commitment not to interfere in Iran’s internal affairs and to respect the sovereignty of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Full lifting of the naval blockade within 30 days.
A U.S. commitment to withdraw its forces from areas surrounding Iran.
Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days under arrangements determined by Iran.
Suspension of sanctions on the sale of oil, petrochemical products, and related derivatives, along with full Iranian access to the resulting financial revenues.
The United States and its allies would be required to present reconstruction plans for Iran worth at least $300 billion.
A 60-day negotiation period aimed at reaching a final agreement covering nuclear issues and the complete removal of U.S. primary and secondary sanctions, as well as the repeal of relevant resolutions of the UN Security Council and the IAEA Board of Governors.
Reaffirmation by Iran of its commitment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) not to produce nuclear weapons.
During the negotiation period, the United States would commit not to deploy additional forces to the region and not to impose any new sanctions.
The release of $24 billion in frozen Iranian assets during the 60-day final negotiation period. Half of this amount must be made available to Iran before negotiations begin.
Establishment of a monitoring mechanism to oversee implementation of the agreement.
The final agreement would be approved through a UN Security Council resolution.
Final negotiations would not begin before the release of half of Iran’s frozen assets, the suspension of oil sanctions, and the lifting of the naval blockade. The final agreement would focus exclusively on the future of enriched nuclear material and uranium enrichment, sanctions relief, and a program for rebuilding Iran’s economy. Discussion of Iran’s missile program and its support for resistance groups would be definitively excluded from the agenda.

As stated by the Foreign Ministry spokesperson, this text still requires review and final approval by the relevant authorities in Iran.—  https://x.com/yarotrof/status/2065357315058880709

— Michael Weiss (@michaeldweiss) Jun 12, 2026

IRGC drone command eliminated recently, not sure at which location

— Open Source Intel (@Osint613) Jun 12, 2026

I’m sure Israel and the U.S. are in constant contact right now, making it clear that Hezbollah cannot be folded into an Iran MOU.

Imagine the U.S. signs a deal with China.

Now imagine Chinese backed armed proxies are sitting just across the Mexican border with 150,000 rockets pointed at El Paso.

Then buried in the agreement is a clause that protects those proxies.

— Open Source Intel (@Osint613) Jun 12, 2026