Day: July 2, 2024

Episode 205 has been uploaded.

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There is only one block (A-Block) for this one.

BULLETIN:  I now believe the President is going to stand aside and Kamala Harris will replace him as the nominee, and I think there is as much as a 50-50 chance he will also resign his office before the election.

This is NOT based on sourced reporting or inside information but merely an accumulation of new developments during the course of Tuesday, and I take no pleasure in making any of these conclusions, and I haven’t even thought long enough about them to be certain if I concur or am opposed to this outcome.But

After Nancy Pelosi’s comments today about President Biden and how “I think it’s a legitimate question to say, is this an episode or is this a condition? When people ask that question, it’s completely legitimate” and how nothing she could have said would do less to tamp down speculation or debate, and especially after today’s report of leaked internal swing state Democratic polling, I think — as my friend of half a century Will Bunch put it, “it feels like an energy shift in the force.”

The polling is described in detail. The bottom line is that in the 72 hours after the debate, Democratic internal pollsters OpenLabs reported that the six swing states had become twelve swing states and Biden had lost about two points in both of them and was now trailing Trump in Michigan and Pennsylvania by seven.

It’s not sustainable.

Good morning, good afternoon, good night, and good luck.

Episode 205 has been uploaded.

Preview:

YouTube, later

There is only one block (A-Block) for this one.

BULLETIN:  I now believe the President is going to stand aside and Kamala Harris will replace him as the nominee, and I think there is as much as a 50-50 chance he will also resign his office before the election.

This is NOT based on sourced reporting or inside information but merely an accumulation of new developments during the course of Tuesday, and I take no pleasure in making any of these conclusions, and I haven’t even thought long enough about them to be certain if I concur or am opposed to this outcome.But

After Nancy Pelosi’s comments today about President Biden and how “I think it’s a legitimate question to say, is this an episode or is this a condition? When people ask that question, it’s completely legitimate” and how nothing she could have said would do less to tamp down speculation or debate, and especially after today’s report of leaked internal swing state Democratic polling, I think — as my friend of half a century Will Bunch put it, “it feels like an energy shift in the force.”

The polling is described in detail. The bottom line is that in the 72 hours after the debate, Democratic internal pollsters OpenLabs reported that the six swing states had become twelve swing states and Biden had lost about two points in both of them and was now trailing Trump in Michigan and Pennsylvania by seven.

It’s not sustainable.

Good morning, good afternoon, good night, and good luck.

Episode 205 has been uploaded.

Preview:

YouTube, later

There is only one block (A-Block) for this one.

BULLETIN:  I now believe the President is going to stand aside and Kamala Harris will replace him as the nominee, and I think there is as much as a 50-50 chance he will also resign his office before the election.

This is NOT based on sourced reporting or inside information but merely an accumulation of new developments during the course of Tuesday, and I take no pleasure in making any of these conclusions, and I haven’t even thought long enough about them to be certain if I concur or am opposed to this outcome.But

After Nancy Pelosi’s comments today about President Biden and how “I think it’s a legitimate question to say, is this an episode or is this a condition? When people ask that question, it’s completely legitimate” and how nothing she could have said would do less to tamp down speculation or debate, and especially after today’s report of leaked internal swing state Democratic polling, I think — as my friend of half a century Will Bunch put it, “it feels like an energy shift in the force.”

The polling is described in detail. The bottom line is that in the 72 hours after the debate, Democratic internal pollsters OpenLabs reported that the six swing states had become twelve swing states and Biden had lost about two points in both of them and was now trailing Trump in Michigan and Pennsylvania by seven.

It’s not sustainable.

Good morning, good afternoon, good night, and good luck.

Episode 205 has been uploaded.

Preview:

YouTube, later

There is only one block (A-Block) for this one.

BULLETIN:  I now believe the President is going to stand aside and Kamala Harris will replace him as the nominee, and I think there is as much as a 50-50 chance he will also resign his office before the election.

This is NOT based on sourced reporting or inside information but merely an accumulation of new developments during the course of Tuesday, and I take no pleasure in making any of these conclusions, and I haven’t even thought long enough about them to be certain if I concur or am opposed to this outcome.But

After Nancy Pelosi’s comments today about President Biden and how “I think it’s a legitimate question to say, is this an episode or is this a condition? When people ask that question, it’s completely legitimate” and how nothing she could have said would do less to tamp down speculation or debate, and especially after today’s report of leaked internal swing state Democratic polling, I think — as my friend of half a century Will Bunch put it, “it feels like an energy shift in the force.”

The polling is described in detail. The bottom line is that in the 72 hours after the debate, Democratic internal pollsters OpenLabs reported that the six swing states had become twelve swing states and Biden had lost about two points in both of them and was now trailing Trump in Michigan and Pennsylvania by seven.

It’s not sustainable.

Good morning, good afternoon, good night, and good luck.