MORE: Russian officials have repeatedly attempted to perpetuate a false narrative that the Ukrainian frontlines are on the verge of collapse in an effort to convince the West to capitulate to Russian demands that Russia cannot secure militarily. Ukraine’s recent successes indicate that Ukraine is not at risk of collapse, however.Institute for the Study of War (@TheStudyofWar)NEW: Ukraine continues to generate leverage against Russia by accomplishing tactical, operational, and strategic battlespace effects.
Other Key Takeaways:
Swedish authorities boarded a Russian shadow fleet tanker on April 3 that was suspected of causing an oil spill in the Baltic Sea.
Ukrainian forces recently advanced in western Zaporizhia Oblast.
Russian forces launched 10 Iskander-M ballistic missiles, 25 Kh-101 cruise missiles, two Iskander-K cruise missiles, and 542 drones toward Ukraine on the night of April 2 to 3.
Russian forces will likely shift their long-range strike campaign toward Ukrainian water supply and logistics targets in Spring and Summer 2026.— https://x.com/TheStudyofWar/status/2040211898797273115
— Institute for the Study of War (@TheStudyofWar) Apr 4, 2026
The post MORE: Russian officials have repeatedly attempted to perpetuate a false narrative that the Ukrainian frontlines are on the verge of collapse in an effort to convince the West to capitulate to Russian demands that Russia cannot secure militarily. Ukraine’s recent successes indicate that Ukraine is not at risk of collapse, however. first appeared on October Surprise 2016 – octobersurprise2016.org.

