Month: October 2025

“NO AVAILABLE EVIDENCE IN THE PUBLIC DOMAIN”
Mass Killings in Russia vs the US:
Are the elements of the TIT FOR TAT present?
What is the evidence of involvement of the Intelligence Services, including the  #CIA,  #GRU, and  #Mossad?  #Analysis of statistics, patterns, clues

Mass Killings in Russia vs. the US: No Evidence of “Tit for Tat” or Intelligence Service Orchestration.
An analysis of available data on mass killings in Russia and the United States reveals no evidence of a “Tit for Tat” dynamic between the two nations. Furthermore, there is no credible information to suggest the involvement of intelligence services such as the CIA, GRU, or Mossad in orchestrating these tragic events in either country. While both nations have experienced mass casualty incidents, the statistics, patterns, and motives behind them differ significantly, pointing to distinct domestic factors rather than a reciprocal international conflict.

Statistically, the United States experiences a significantly higher frequency of mass shootings than Russia.1 This disparity is a crucial factor in understanding the nature of the problem in each country. The prevalence of firearms and different gun control laws are often cited as contributing factors to the higher rate in the U.S.

The “Tit for Tat” strategy, a concept from game theory, involves an initial cooperative move, followed by reciprocating an opponent’s subsequent actions.2 In the context of mass killings, this would imply a retaliatory cycle where an attack in one country is followed by a similar attack in the other, with some form of communication or understanding of this reciprocity.3 There is no evidence in the public domain to support the existence of such a pattern. Mass killings in both countries are overwhelmingly perpetrated by individuals or small groups with domestic grievances, ideological motivations, or severe personal issues, not as acts of state-sponsored or state-condoned retaliation against another nation.

Intelligence Service Involvement: A Lack of Evidence

Allegations of intelligence service involvement in orchestrating mass killings in either Russia or the United States lack credible supporting evidence.

CIA (Central Intelligence Agency): Searches for CIA involvement in Russian mass killings yield no credible reports. Historical accounts of CIA activities in the Soviet Union focused on espionage, counter-espionage, and supporting dissident groups, not inciting indiscriminate violence against civilians.

GRU (Main Intelligence Directorate of the General Staff of the Russian Federation): Similarly, there is no evidence to suggest GRU involvement in orchestrating mass killings within the United States. While the GRU has been accused of various malign activities abroad, including targeted assassinations and interference in elections, these operations are distinct from the phenomenon of public mass shootings.

Mossad (The Institute for Intelligence and Special Operations): The Mossad’s activities, as documented in public sources, have centered on targeted assassinations of individuals deemed threats to Israeli security, primarily in the context of counter-terrorism.4 There is no evidence linking them to the orchestration of mass killings in either Russia or the United States.

Divergent Patterns and Motives

The patterns and motives behind mass killings in Russia and the United States show notable differences, further undermining the notion of a coordinated, reciprocal conflict.

In the United States, mass shootings are often linked to a complex interplay of factors including:

Ideological Extremism: A significant portion of mass casualty events are carried out by individuals motivated by white supremacist, anti-government, or other extremist ideologies.
Personal Grievances: Workplace or school-related grievances are common motives.
Mental Health Crises: While not a sole determinant, severe mental health issues are often a contributing factor.5
Fame-Seeking or Notoriety: A desire for infamy has been identified as a motivator in some cases.

In Russia, mass killings, while less frequent, often exhibit different characteristics:

Hazings and Military-Related Violence: Incidents within the military or related to military service have been a recurring theme.
Targeted Attacks with Specific Grievances: Many attacks are directed at specific individuals or institutions due to personal or professional disputes.6
Economic Hardship: Some analyses have pointed to economic distress as a potential contributing factor to violent outbursts.7

In conclusion, the assertion of a “Tit for Tat” dynamic or the involvement of intelligence agencies in orchestrating mass killings in Russia and the United States is not supported by the available evidence. The nature of these events in each country points to complex domestic issues and individual motivations rather than a clandestine, violent dialogue between nations.
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Links
Mass Killings in Russia vs the US
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No Tit-for-Tat Mass Killings  g.co/gemini/share/7c38c7f248…
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— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) Oct 1, 2025